Eastern Africa Association
Eastern Africa Association
The Eastern Africa Association is a source of insightful and helpful publications, guides, and advice for all visitors to our website. Contributors include EAA analysts, our Members, and a wide range of experts and official commentators. As a key service for Members only, we produce a regular Newsletter which contains our analysis of developments in the region.
You can search for material using the filters below, or access the latest publications in the library further down the page.
This is a commentary and comments are welcome by email to: info@eaa.co.ke . The views expressed here are not necessarily those of the Association.
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Kenyan politics remain turbulent and with a General Election in 2027, there is some uncertainty. A recent by-election suggests that the IEBC is prepared but handling one by-election and a full general election are like chalk and cheese. Hopefully, IEBC will improve in the next 12 months. The economy is growing but at a rate that probably suggests under performance. Debt levels are a significant concern for Kenya.
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Tanzania has yet to deal with the underlying reasons for the Post-Election Violence in 2025 and a new ban on political rallies has been put in place to prevent any new demonstrations. The economy is growing at above average rate and performing well.
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Uganda’s democracy seems to be moving backwards as regards freedom of speech and the participation of an opposition in the political scene. This is perhaps the single biggest concern on the political front. The economy is performing well with good projections for the future which are largely based on Uganda’s oil sector.
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Rwanda continues to be politically stable but is now facing further sanctions by the US and a new filing at the International Court of Justice by the DRC. The economy is performing well but the Government has significantly increased subsidies on fuel and fertilisers. The country has entered into new arrangements for the supply and transport of fuel which is expected to reduce prices by up to 30% over the next three years.
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Having finally settled the issues with bondholders, Ethiopia can breathe a sigh of relief. Its reforms and opening up of various parts of the economy is regaining international interest in the country. The Tigray region looks as though it could become another civil war
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One is a capital that came within hours of a wider conflagration over a disputed mandate, a security campaign in stalemate, and external relationships under strain. The other is a fragile but real return to dialogue, active regional mediation, and institutions even an archive being painstakingly rebuilt. If the ongoing talks hold and yield a credible electoral roadmap, the security and economic agendas can move back to the centre; if they collapse, as the Halane round did, the violence will look like a preview rather than an aberration. Members with exposure should treat the electoral timetable as the key…
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